Tuesday, March 29, 2011

Hope for a win

That's the plan? [Link]
1. President Obama said that there would have been a massacre in Benghazi if Qaddafi's army had not been turned back. This is a reasonable assumption - but it is no more reasonable than President Bush's assertion that Saddam Hussein possessed stocks of WMDs that would be turned against Iraq's neighbors or even the United States. On such assumption war is made in the 21st century, one must suppose.

2. The president simply hopes that Qaddafi will step down, flee for his life, pack it in, retire,take an extended vacation, whatever. Obama is certain that this will take place in the near future. Yet he offered us no reason whatsoever to think it will come to pass. And the president reiterated that NATO is not going to do anything to make it happen. 

This assumption is nothing but hope. It is the merest wisp of fog, a vapor in the night, resting only on the president's unwarranted assertion that somehow, ever-thin's gonna work out all right. 

3. There was no mention of what a post-Qaddafi Libya will look like politically if Qaddafi does trip, fall down the stairs and break his neck. The rebel alliance is -- what? Who? Obama didn't offer a glimmer. But once again, don't worry, be happy, there is no cause for alarm. Everything's gonna work out all right because our intentions are pure. And we are being careful not to hurt anyone when we drop those bombs. 

This is supposed be be the plan - but it's not a plan. It's just hope and wishes. So let's proceed to another, equally possible eventuality: Qaddafi decides that he would like to keep on dictating because that is what dictators like to do. And if he can't dictate over all Libya, he'll take the western part with Tripoli and environs to use as a base to wait NATO out, then roll up the rebels.

If this is Case B, does Obama have a Plan B? No. 



That was your plan. Get her?

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