And even if the money is there, no one wants one in their backyard.All of these discussions, and phony debates, ignore a critical element - nuclear plants don’t get built because politicians or activists want them (or even because we are running out of power) - nuclear plants get built:
1) when the regulatory climate in a particular state allows for recovery and financing of these costs
2) when individual utilities are financially strong enough to incur the debt and raise the cash to see through the 10+ year process from site selection through actually powering up the reactor and delivering power into the grid
Let’s tackle #2 first. The estimates for building a nuclear plant are between $5B and $12B. Note that this doesn’t take into account the “time value” of money - you need to get this money up front now and pay interest on it for all the years until the plant starts earning its keep - and this will substantially increase the cost. I don’t have specific information but when I was in the industry I was told that on the plants built in the 70’s maybe 20-40% of the total cost was “capitalized interest”, or the interest on the construction debt while the plant was being built. It is true that the 70’s were a time of high inflation, but we are seeing rising prices (and scarce availiabity) of key construction materials today, too. Let’s say that for discussion purposes this $5B to $12B becomes $7B - $15B in costs in nominal (not real dollars, but nominal dollars are the ones that you have to pay out).
Wednesday, October 08, 2008
Nuclear Power Plant Funding
This is going to be a problem. [Link]
2 comments:
This is the same argument I hear when I mention desalination plants. Toooo expensive. Meanwhile, we're told that FL, hell, the whole country, is running out of water. We've got a bajillion barrels washing up on the shore, and if we'd started 25 years ago, the way they did in Tampa, we likely wouldn't be on water rationing now. It has to start somewhere. Long range planning, people. Nuclear plants wouldn't solve the immediate problem, but think of the advances in technology and safety that would take place over the next 10 - 20 years. This is one area where France really one-upped the U.S. Well, that and roquefort cheese...
Long term planning. What's that? Companies want to make money now, and in the current economy, no one wants to spend billions they don't have for a possible payout 10 years from now.
Long term planning for business seems to be at most, a year in the future.
Post a Comment